Will Pipes Freeze in Carlisle County, KY? 24 nights a Year
Freeze nights in Carlisle County
In a normal year Carlisle County, KY gets 24 nights at or below 20°F, the point where bare pipes in a garage, attic or outside wall start to freeze. That is more than 40% of US counties.
Risk level: Regular. The risk season runs November to March, worst in January.
It depends where the pipe is
| Pipe | Freezes near | Nights a year |
|---|---|---|
| Outdoor spigot, open crawlspace | 32°F | 88 nights |
| Bare pipe in garage, attic or outside wall | 20°F | 24 nights |
| Insulated pipe in unheated space | 10°F | 5 nights |
| Inside the heated house | 0°F | under 1 night |
Foam-sleeving a bare pipe in unheated space takes it from 24 nights of risk to 5 nights. A 12 ft heat-tape kit runs $17 to $37; an average burst-pipe repair is about $500.
Month by month
Nights at or below 20°F in a normal year.
First 32°F night is usually around 10/30, last around 04/06. For 20°F: 12/02 to 02/27.
How cold Carlisle County nights get
Average winter (Dec-Feb) low: 28°F; the coldest month, January, averages 27°F overnight. 7 months normally bring at least one night below 32°F (Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, Oct, Nov, Dec). Nights below 10°F, cold enough to freeze insulated pipe in an unheated space, come in January, February, December: 5 nights a year, and under 1 night below zero.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27°F | 29°F | 38°F | 46°F | 56°F | 65°F | 69°F | 67°F | 58°F | 47°F | 36°F | 29°F |
Carlisle County next to its neighbours
Hickman County, KY, 20 km south, gets 23 nights.
| County | Distance | Below 32°F | Below 20°F | Jan low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle County, KY | - | 88 nights | 24 nights | 27°F |
| Hickman County, KY | 20 km south | 86 nights | 23 nights | 27°F |
| Ballard County, KY | 22 km north | 83 nights | 22 nights | 26°F |
| Mississippi County, MO | 29 km west | 81 nights | 20 nights | 27°F |
| McCracken County, KY | 32 km northeast | 83 nights | 22 nights | 27°F |
| Graves County, KY | 33 km southeast | 87 nights | 24 nights | 26°F |
| Fulton County, KY | 39 km southwest | 86 nights | 20 nights | 27°F |
Carlisle County within KY
Carlisle County ranks 94 of 120 KY counties for nights below 20°F. The most is Shelby County, KY at 55 nights, with a 22°F average winter low. The fewest is Lyon County, KY: 15 nights, winter lows near 32°F. At 411 ft, Carlisle County sits 385 ft below the state's median county elevation of 797 ft.
What to do here
- Insulate every pipe in unheated space before the season starts.
- Heat tape on the runs you cannot insulate well.
- Shut off and drain outdoor spigots for the season.
What insulating actually removes here, and when heat tape is needed: insulate or heat tape?.
Where this comes from
NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals, blended from 3 nearby stations and adjusted for elevation; closest is Bardwell (2 mi E), KY, 3 km away (close match). A normal year, not tonight's forecast: check the forecast low for the night itself. What a "fair" or "distant" station match means is in the method guide.