PipeFreezeNights

Will Pipes Freeze in Chugach Census Area, AK? 32 nights a Year

Freeze nights in Chugach Census Area

In a normal year Chugach Census Area, AK gets 32 nights at or below 20°F, the point where bare pipes in a garage, attic or outside wall start to freeze. That is more than 48% of US counties.

Risk level: Regular. The risk season runs October to April, worst in January.

It depends where the pipe is

PipeFreezes nearNights a year
Outdoor spigot, open crawlspace32°F129 nights
Bare pipe in garage, attic or outside wall20°F32 nights
Insulated pipe in unheated space10°F8 nights
Inside the heated house0°F2 nights

Foam-sleeving a bare pipe in unheated space takes it from 32 nights of risk to 8 nights. A 12 ft heat-tape kit runs $17 to $37; an average burst-pipe repair is about $500.

Month by month

Nights at or below 20°F in a normal year.

  1. Jul
  2. Aug
  3. Sep
  4. 1Oct
  5. 4Nov
  6. 5Dec
  7. 8Jan
  8. 7Feb
  9. 6Mar
  10. 1Apr
  11. May
  12. Jun

First 32°F night is usually around 10/13, last around 04/29. For 20°F: 11/20 to 03/25.

How cold Chugach Census Area nights get

Average winter (Dec-Feb) low: 26°F; the coldest month, January, averages 25°F overnight. 9 months normally bring at least one night below 32°F (Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, May, Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec). Nights below 10°F, cold enough to freeze insulated pipe in an unheated space, come in January, February, March, November, December: 8 nights a year, and 2 nights below zero.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
25°F26°F26°F33°F40°F47°F51°F50°F44°F37°F30°F27°F

Chugach Census Area next to its neighbours

Anchorage Municipality, AK, 184 km northwest, gets 104 nights below 20°F to Chugach Census Area's 32 nights.

CountyDistanceBelow 32°FBelow 20°FJan low
Chugach Census Area, AK-129 nights32 nights25°F
Anchorage Municipality, AK184 km northwest203 nights104 nights12°F
Copper River Census Area, AK211 km northeast251 nights180 nights-11°F
Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK264 km northwest221 nights133 nights5°F
Yakutat City and Borough, AK323 km east164 nights50 nights21°F
Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK336 km west194 nights102 nights10°F
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK406 km north261 nights192 nights-22°F

Chugach Census Area within AK

Chugach Census Area ranks 21 of 26 AK counties for nights below 20°F. The most is Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK at 192 nights, with a -19°F average winter low. The fewest is Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK: 10 nights, winter lows near 32°F. At 456 ft, Chugach Census Area sits 366 ft below the state's median county elevation of 822 ft.

What to do here

When to have the house ready: when freeze season starts.

Where this comes from

NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals, blended from 3 nearby stations and adjusted for elevation; closest is Cordova Wastewater Plant, AK, 24 km away (fair match). A normal year, not tonight's forecast: check the forecast low for the night itself. Why elevation is part of the blend: how county numbers are made.