Will Pipes Freeze in Warren County, KY? 19 nights a Year
Freeze nights in Warren County
In a normal year Warren County, KY gets 19 nights at or below 20°F, the point where bare pipes in a garage, attic or outside wall start to freeze. That is more than 36% of US counties.
Risk level: Regular. The risk season runs November to March, worst in January.
It depends where the pipe is
| Pipe | Freezes near | Nights a year |
|---|---|---|
| Outdoor spigot, open crawlspace | 32°F | 82 nights |
| Bare pipe in garage, attic or outside wall | 20°F | 19 nights |
| Insulated pipe in unheated space | 10°F | 4 nights |
| Inside the heated house | 0°F | under 1 night |
Foam-sleeving a bare pipe in unheated space takes it from 19 nights of risk to 4 nights. A 12 ft heat-tape kit runs $17 to $37; an average burst-pipe repair is about $500.
Month by month
Nights at or below 20°F in a normal year.
First 32°F night is usually around 10/31, last around 04/05. For 20°F: 12/04 to 02/27.
How cold Warren County nights get
Average winter (Dec-Feb) low: 30°F; the coldest month, January, averages 28°F overnight. 7 months normally bring at least one night below 32°F (Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, Oct, Nov, Dec). Nights below 10°F, cold enough to freeze insulated pipe in an unheated space, come in January, February, December: 4 nights a year, and under 1 night below zero.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28°F | 31°F | 38°F | 47°F | 57°F | 66°F | 70°F | 68°F | 60°F | 48°F | 38°F | 32°F |
Warren County next to its neighbours
Edmonson County, KY, 32 km northeast, gets 27 nights below 20°F to Warren County's 19 nights.
| County | Distance | Below 32°F | Below 20°F | Jan low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren County, KY | - | 82 nights | 19 nights | 28°F |
| Edmonson County, KY | 32 km northeast | 92 nights | 27 nights | 26°F |
| Simpson County, KY | 32 km southwest | 83 nights | 21 nights | 27°F |
| Butler County, KY | 33 km northwest | 94 nights | 25 nights | 24°F |
| Allen County, KY | 34 km southeast | 79 nights | 22 nights | 26°F |
| Logan County, KY | 43 km west | 91 nights | 24 nights | 26°F |
| Barren County, KY | 44 km east | 81 nights | 21 nights | 29°F |
Warren County within KY
Warren County ranks 118 of 120 KY counties for nights below 20°F. The most is Shelby County, KY at 55 nights, with a 22°F average winter low. The fewest is Lyon County, KY: 15 nights, winter lows near 32°F. At 473 ft, Warren County sits 323 ft below the state's median county elevation of 797 ft.
What to do here
- Insulate every pipe in unheated space before the season starts.
- Heat tape on the runs you cannot insulate well.
- Shut off and drain outdoor spigots for the season.
What insulating actually removes here, and when heat tape is needed: insulate or heat tape?.
Where this comes from
NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals, blended from 3 nearby stations and adjusted for elevation; closest is Bowling Green Warren County Airport, KY, 3 km away (close match). A normal year, not tonight's forecast: check the forecast low for the night itself. Why elevation is part of the blend: how county numbers are made.