Will Pipes Freeze in Carroll County, MO? 43 nights a Year
Freeze nights in Carroll County
In a normal year Carroll County, MO gets 43 nights at or below 20°F, the point where bare pipes in a garage, attic or outside wall start to freeze. That is more than 59% of US counties.
Risk level: Severe. The risk season runs November to March, worst in January.
It depends where the pipe is
| Pipe | Freezes near | Nights a year |
|---|---|---|
| Outdoor spigot, open crawlspace | 32°F | 115 nights |
| Bare pipe in garage, attic or outside wall | 20°F | 43 nights |
| Insulated pipe in unheated space | 10°F | 17 nights |
| Inside the heated house | 0°F | 4 nights |
Foam-sleeving a bare pipe in unheated space takes it from 43 nights of risk to 17 nights. A 12 ft heat-tape kit runs $17 to $37; an average burst-pipe repair is about $500.
Month by month
Nights at or below 20°F in a normal year.
First 32°F night is usually around 10/23, last around 04/16. For 20°F: 11/20 to 03/14.
How cold Carroll County nights get
Average winter (Dec-Feb) low: 21°F; the coldest month, January, averages 18°F overnight. 7 months normally bring at least one night below 32°F (Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, Oct, Nov, Dec). Nights below 10°F, cold enough to freeze insulated pipe in an unheated space, come in January, February, March, December: 17 nights a year, and 4 nights below zero.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18°F | 22°F | 32°F | 42°F | 53°F | 63°F | 67°F | 65°F | 56°F | 44°F | 32°F | 23°F |
Carroll County next to its neighbours
Livingston County, MO, 39 km north, gets 50 nights below 20°F to Carroll County's 43 nights.
| County | Distance | Below 32°F | Below 20°F | Jan low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carroll County, MO | - | 115 nights | 43 nights | 18°F |
| Livingston County, MO | 39 km north | 122 nights | 50 nights | 17°F |
| Saline County, MO | 41 km southeast | 115 nights | 44 nights | 19°F |
| Ray County, MO | 45 km west | 129 nights | 57 nights | 16°F |
| Chariton County, MO | 47 km east | 117 nights | 47 nights | 19°F |
| Lafayette County, MO | 48 km southwest | 117 nights | 45 nights | 19°F |
| Caldwell County, MO | 48 km northwest | 139 nights | 65 nights | 16°F |
Carroll County within MO
Carroll County ranks 43 of 115 MO counties for nights below 20°F. The most is Caldwell County, MO at 65 nights, with a 19°F average winter low. The fewest is Pemiscot County, MO: 14 nights, winter lows near 31°F. At 802 ft, Carroll County sits close to the state's median county elevation of 842 ft.
What to do here
- Treat it as a building fix, not a night-of routine: insulate, heat tape, seal crawlspace vents.
- An automatic leak shutoff pays for itself if one burst is avoided.
- Know where the main shutoff is before the first hard freeze.
At this many nights, foam alone is not the answer: insulate or heat tape?.
Where this comes from
NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals, blended from 3 nearby stations and adjusted for elevation; closest is Carrollton, MO, 8 km away (close match). A normal year, not tonight's forecast: check the forecast low for the night itself. What a "fair" or "distant" station match means is in the method guide.